Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.000282 0.000316 0.000353 0.000395 0.000444 0.000497 0.000560
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.000218 0.000266 0.000323 0.000396 0.000487 0.000596 0.000739
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000177 0.000230 0.000297 0.000389 0.000511 0.000670 0.000895
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000154 0.000210 0.000285 0.000393 0.000547 0.000760 0.001081
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000136 0.000194 0.000275 0.000397 0.000579 0.000845 0.001269
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000116 0.000172 0.000252 0.000379 0.000577 0.000879 0.001384
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000106 0.000161 0.000244 0.000381 0.000603 0.000957 0.001576
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000100 0.000157 0.000246 0.000398 0.000654 0.001079 0.001858
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000090 0.000145 0.000234 0.000389 0.000661 0.001130 0.002024
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000079 0.000131 0.000216 0.000370 0.000648 0.001143 0.002122
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000074 0.000126 0.000213 0.000375 0.000677 0.001232 0.002374
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000072 0.000125 0.000217 0.000393 0.000733 0.001380 0.002761
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000066 0.000117 0.000209 0.000388 0.000744 0.001446 0.003001
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000061 0.000111 0.000203 0.000387 0.000765 0.001534 0.003305
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000056 0.000104 0.000194 0.000379 0.000771 0.001593 0.003552
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000053 0.000100 0.000191 0.000384 0.000803 0.001711 0.003956
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000050 0.000097 0.000188 0.000387 0.000832 0.001826 0.004373
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000045 0.000089 0.000176 0.000370 0.000813 0.001832 0.004521
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000043 0.000085 0.000173 0.000372 0.000839 0.001942 0.004955
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000042 0.000085 0.000176 0.000388 0.000899 0.002146 0.005676
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000039 0.000080 0.000169 0.000380 0.000901 0.002204 0.006004
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000035 0.000074 0.000158 0.000362 0.000874 0.002187 0.006119
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000034 0.000072 0.000157 0.000366 0.000906 0.002326 0.006717